11 maart 2013: Be on your mettle

Forwarders warned that crackdown on cash for scrap in UK may see gangs try to export stolen metal

The British International Freight Association (Bifa) has alerted its members of the possible consequences of a crackdown on the UK scrap metal trade.

The move came after a warning from the Serious Organised Crime Agency about suspicious locations for the collection of loaded shipping containers.

The new Scrap Metal Dealers Bill, which makes it illegal to pay for scrap with cash, is creating what Bifa called “a worrying prospect that increasing amounts of scrap metal will be exported by criminals to legal jurisdictions that still permit cash payments”.

Bifa warned its members that criminals could attempt to send containers abroad from unlikely locations, such as brownfield sites, farms or even residential addresses..

Peter Quantrill, Bifa’s Director General, is concerned that freight forwarders may become innocent accomplices in this traffic and is urging them to alert the authorities of any suspicions they might have.

He said: “Parliamentarians may have thought they had solved the problem by scrapping cash payments for scrap, but they may have inadvertently shifted the problem onto the freight transport supply chain.”

Bifa is advising its members to report suspicious sightings of containers as one of the transport methods used by serious organised criminals to traffic stolen vehicles, plant and scrap metal out of the UK is the use of ocean containers.

original article

19 februari 2013: Fiscaal voordeel voor beveiliging bedrijfsvoertuigen

Wie zijn bedrijfsvoertuig - met een maximum toegelaten massa van minstens 4 ton - beveiligt tegen diefstal, kan genieten van een verhoogde fiscale aftrek. De ministers Vincent van Quickenborne van Economie en Annemie Turtelboom van Binnenlandse Zaken hebben daartoe een kb uitgevaardigd.

Er bestond vroeger al een regeling voor de beveiliging van bedrijfsgebouwen, maar die wordt dus nu uitgebreid naar bedrijfsvoertuigen.

Naast de klassieke aftrek van de afschrijvingen, mogen ze voortaan ook rekenen op een extra fiscale stimulus. De veiligheidsinvesteringen kunnen immers voor 120,5% worden afgetrokken in plaats van de normale 100%.

Voor de aftrek komen onder meer de uitgaven van volgsystemen via gps in aanmerking. Voorts geldt hij ook voor onder meer alarmsystemen, automatische deurvergrendeling, beveiliging van de dieseltank, versterkte dekzeilen en de versteviging van de zijwanden.

GVA

16 februari 2013: market of heavy good trailers


The market for heavy goods trailers fell 6.3% in 2012

The latest Trailer Market Forecast Report for Western Europe shows that the trailer market fell by 6.3% in 2012 – the exact figure forecast in the previous report. Heavy truck demand fell by more than 9%. The fall was almost universal; only Norway and Denmark had increased trailer demand. CLEAR has been forecasting a slowdown in 2012 for several years, so this has not come as a surprise.

The worst performing markets were Italy, Portugal and Spain, which saw falls of between 20% and 40%.

Actual and Forecast Trailer Registrations for 2012

TrailersForecasts
RegistrationsActual2012q42012q2
2012130,708130,726135,515
Error184,807
Error%0.0%3.7%

What is more important is that the economic outlook for the next five years has been downgraded in every year and this will inevitably have an impact on long term trailer demand.

GDP growth for the region is forecast at only 0.2% in 2013, but will average 1.5% in the three subsequent years when investment growth will average 3.2%. Therefore, there will be growth in trailer demand in the second half of 2013, followed by more solid growth through to 2016.

The report includes data on the demand for road transport in the Big 7 West European economies, which in 2011 languished at 11.6% below the level of 2006 (measured in tonne-km). The consequence of this fact is that a smaller trailer parc (fleet size) can meet the reduced demand for transport. Hence the parc will fall in four out of five years from 2009 to 2013.

Whenever there is a slowdown in trailer demand there is usually an even larger reduction in trailer production, which is estimated to have fallen by 11% in 2012. However, when the market turns around production has to catch up with demand and restock the distribution system, so the increase in output will be greater than that for sales.

The most likely scenario is that, after the hiatus of 2012 and the first half of 2013, we will be into a more stable period of trailer demand growth and parc renewal. From 2013 to 2016 trailer demand will grow in every country in almost every year.

Gary Beecroft of CLEAR stated that “By the third quarter the worst of the current dip in trailer demand will be behind us, but a return to the trailer demand levels of 2007/8 in unlikely in this decade.”

Background

77% of all goods in Europe are moved by road and most of that proportion is transported on a trailer.

The West European Trailer Market Report (February 2013), with forecasts to 2017, can be obtained from CLEAR using the contact details below. A new report for the East European market was issued in October 2012.

- - * * * - -

CLEAR is a consulting group working with companies active in automotive and transport markets. Projects focus on the future demand for products as a result of changes in technology, markets, business processes and legislation. Clients include component manufacturers, vehicle manufacturers, investment banks, management consultants, materials producers and government bodies.

Office: +44 20 8892 8379
E-mail: gbeecroft@talktalk.net
Web: http://www.clear.talktalk.net
Address: 4 Alexandra Road, Twickenham TW1 2HE, United Kingdom

The market for heavy goods trailers fell 6.3% in 2012

The latest Trailer Market Forecast Report for Western Europe shows that the trailer market fell by 6.3% in 2012 – the exact figure forecast in the previous report. Heavy truck demand fell by more than 9%. The fall was almost universal; only Norway and Denmark had increased trailer demand. CLEAR has been forecasting a slowdown in 2012 for several years, so this has not come as a surprise.

The worst performing markets were Italy, Portugal and Spain, which saw falls of between 20% and 40%.

Actual and Forecast Trailer Registrations for 2012

TrailersForecasts
RegistrationsActual2012q42012q2
2012130,708130,726135,515
Error184,807
Error%0.0%3.7%

What is more important is that the economic outlook for the next five years has been downgraded in every year and this will inevitably have an impact on long term trailer demand.

GDP growth for the region is forecast at only 0.2% in 2013, but will average 1.5% in the three subsequent years when investment growth will average 3.2%. Therefore, there will be growth in trailer demand in the second half of 2013, followed by more solid growth through to 2016.

The report includes data on the demand for road transport in the Big 7 West European economies, which in 2011 languished at 11.6% below the level of 2006 (measured in tonne-km). The consequence of this fact is that a smaller trailer parc (fleet size) can meet the reduced demand for transport. Hence the parc will fall in four out of five years from 2009 to 2013.

Whenever there is a slowdown in trailer demand there is usually an even larger reduction in trailer production, which is estimated to have fallen by 11% in 2012. However, when the market turns around production has to catch up with demand and restock the distribution system, so the increase in output will be greater than that for sales.

The most likely scenario is that, after the hiatus of 2012 and the first half of 2013, we will be into a more stable period of trailer demand growth and parc renewal. From 2013 to 2016 trailer demand will grow in every country in almost every year.

Gary Beecroft of CLEAR stated that “By the third quarter the worst of the current dip in trailer demand will be behind us, but a return to the trailer demand levels of 2007/8 in unlikely in this decade.”

Background

77% of all goods in Europe are moved by road and most of that proportion is transported on a trailer.

The West European Trailer Market Report (February 2013), with forecasts to 2017, can be obtained from CLEAR using the contact details below. A new report for the East European market was issued in October 2012.

- - * * * - -

CLEAR is a consulting group working with companies active in automotive and transport markets. Projects focus on the future demand for products as a result of changes in technology, markets, business processes and legislation. Clients include component manufacturers, vehicle manufacturers, investment banks, management consultants, materials producers and government bodies.

Office: +44 20 8892 8379
E-mail: gbeecroft@talktalk.net
Web: http://www.clear.talktalk.net
Address: 4 Alexandra Road, Twickenham TW1 2HE, United Kingdom


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